Royal Caribbean Reports Record Third Quarter 2007 Earnings

2007-10-22
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  • Cruise Industry Wire Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE: RCL, Oslo) today announced record net income for the third quarter 2007 of $395.0 million, or $1.84 per share, compared to net income of $345.4 million, or $1.63 per share, in 2006.

    hese results were better than expected mainly due to stronger late bookings driving better yields. Revenues for the third quarter 2007 increased to $2.0 billion from revenues of $1.6 billion in the third quarter 2006. The company also raised its EPS guidance for the year to the high end of its previous guidance despite higher crude oil prices.

    "It was a very encouraging finish for the quarter and augurs well for upcoming periods," said Richard Fain, chairman and chief executive officer. "It is very satisfying that, despite higher fuel prices and other challenges, we produced record results."

    Key metrics for the third quarter 2007 were within expected ranges as follows:

    • Net Yields on a comparable basis (i.e. excluding Pullmantur) increased 1.6% over the third quarter of 2006. Including Pullmantur, Net Yields increased 4.1%.

    • Net Cruise Costs per APCD on a comparable basis increased 0.1%. Including Pullmantur, Net Cruise Costs per APCD increased 6.7%.

    • Fuel prices were up 7.1% versus the third quarter of 2006, but cost per APCD was down about 1.9% mainly due to energy saving and other fuel initiatives. The average at-the-pump price for the quarter was $473 per metric ton versus $442 per metric ton in 2006.

    • Excluding fuel, Net Cruise Costs per APCD on a comparable basis increased 1.0%. Including Pullmantur, Net Cruise Costs per APCD increased 8.6%.

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    Outlook - 2007

    The company provided the following estimates for the full year and fourth quarter 2007. The "Comparable" estimates exclude Pullmantur, while the "Including Pullmantur" estimates are for the entire combined group.

                              Fourth Quarter 2007           Full Year 2007
    Including Including
    Comparable Pullmantur Comparable Pullmantur

    Capacity 4.7% 13.6% 4.8% 12.4%
    Net Yields approx. 2% approx. 9% approx. Flat approx. 3%
    Net Cruise Costs
    per APCD approx. 2% 8% to 9% approx. Flat 5% to 6%
    Net Cruise Costs
    per APCD,
    excluding Fuel approx. 2% approx. 10% Flat to 1% 7% to 8%


    The company expects to have a 12.4% increase in capacity in 2007, driven by Pullmantur, the April delivery of Liberty of the Seas, and a full year of Freedom of the Seas.

    "Building on a solid third quarter, we are encouraged by the strength of our late-season European itineraries, and the continuing recovery in the Caribbean pricing environment," Fain said.

    The company does not forecast fuel prices and its cost guidance for fuel is based on current "at-the-pump" prices including any hedge impacts. If fuel prices for the rest of the quarter remain at today's level, the company's fuel costs for the quarter will be $137 million or $440 per metric ton. The company is 42% hedged for the quarter and a 10% change in the market price of fuel results in an $8 million change in fuel costs for the fourth quarter 2007.
                                      Fourth Quarter 2007      Full Year 2007

    Depreciation and Amortization $125 to $130 Million $485 to $490 Million
    Interest Expense $83 to $88 Million $334 to $339 Million
    Earnings Per Share $0.32 to $0.37 $2.80 to $2.85


    Based on these estimates, and assuming that fuel prices remain at today's level, the company expects its full year 2007 earnings per share to be $2.80 to $2.85, and expects fourth quarter 2007 earnings per share to be $0.32 to $0.37.

    Outlook - 2008

    Looking into early 2008, booking levels and ticket prices are up nicely in the first quarter 2008 versus levels achieved at the same time last year. The company expects that Net Yields for the first quarter 2008 will increase around mid-single digits compared to 2007. Because Pullmantur will be included in all of 2007, it will no longer be shown separately.

    For the full year 2008, overall booking levels and ticket prices are up versus levels achieved at the same time last year. While it is still too early to quantify projections for the full year 2008, management is optimistic that the current demand environment will result in positive yield performance for the full year.

    Fuel prices remain volatile and have risen significantly in recent months. However, the company has taken a number of actions to reduce energy consumption and fuel expense. The resulting savings are nearly sufficient to offset this rise in fuel prices. As a result, even at today's fuel prices, the company's 2008 fuel costs per APCD would be roughly comparable with 2007. If fuel prices for 2008 remain at today's level, fuel costs for the first quarter would be $132 million or $436 per metric ton. The corresponding figures for the full year would be $560 million and $452 per metric ton. The company is 44% hedged for the first quarter of next year and 38% for the full year. A 10% change in the market price of fuel would result in $7 million and $35 million changes in fuel costs for the first quarter 2008 and full year 2008, respectively.

    As of September 30, 2007, liquidity was $1.6 billion, comprising $0.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $1.2 billion in available credit on the company's unsecured revolving credit facility.

    Projected capital expenditures for 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, and 2011, are estimated to be $1.3 billion, $1.8 billion, $2.0 billion, $2.2 billion, and $1.0 billion, respectively. Projected capacity increases for the same five years are estimated at 12.4%, 6.4%, 9.3%, 11.4%, and 6.4%, respectively.

                             ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
    CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
    (unaudited, in thousands, except per share data)

    Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
    September 30, September 30,
    ---------------------- ----------------------
    2007 2006 2007 2006
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    Passenger ticket
    revenues $1,423,179 $1,211,758 $3,360,586 $3,006,928
    Onboard and other
    revenues 530,413 425,093 1,297,459 1,069,443
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    Total revenues 1,953,592 1,636,851 4,658,045 4,076,371
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    Cruise operating
    expenses
    Commissions,
    transportation and
    other 356,471 289,462 844,784 720,460
    Onboard and other 148,218 123,167 316,792 267,945
    Payroll and related 153,106 130,039 432,686 370,800
    Food 87,062 74,606 236,044 205,898
    Fuel 140,655 126,077 384,070 360,307
    Other operating 263,732 200,815 741,736 573,863
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    Total cruise
    operating expenses 1,149,244 944,166 2,956,112 2,499,273
    Marketing, selling and
    administrative
    expenses 199,169 163,745 578,547 518,681
    Depreciation and
    amortization expenses 122,345 109,331 360,021 313,513
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    Operating Income 482,834 419,609 763,365 744,904
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    Other income (expense)
    Interest income 5,704 4,472 16,655 11,789
    Interest expense, net
    of interest
    capitalized (85,270) (71,824) (251,266) (196,136)
    Other (expense)
    income (8,268) (6,885) 3,821 26,742
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    (87,834) (74,237) (230,790) (157,605)
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    Net Income $ 395,000 $ 345,372 $ 532,575 $ 587,299
    ========== ========== ========== ==========

    Earnings Per Share:
    Basic $ 1.85 $ 1.66 $ 2.50 $ 2.79
    ========== ========== ========== ==========
    Diluted $ 1.84 $ 1.63 $ 2.49 $ 2.70
    ========== ========== ========== ==========

    Weighted-Average Shares
    Outstanding:
    Basic 213,039 208,129 212,667 210,239
    ========== ========== ========== ==========
    Diluted 214,295 213,526 214,170 224,078
    ========== ========== ========== ==========



    STATISTICS

    Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
    September 30, September 30,
    ---------------------- ----------------------
    2007 2006 2007 2006
    ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
    Occupancy 109.1% 109.6% 106.4% 107.3%

    Passenger Cruise Days 7,277,757 6,428,544 19,711,739 17,749,885

    APCD 6,668,881 5,865,782 18,526,888 16,543,430



    ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
    CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
    (in thousands, except share data)

    As of
    --------------------------------
    September 30, December 31,
    2007 2006
    --------------- -------------
    (unaudited)
    Assets
    Current assets
    Cash and cash equivalents $ 411,906 $ 104,520
    Trade and other receivables, net 337,889 185,886
    Inventories 88,796 76,969
    Prepaid expenses and other assets 221,680 134,529
    --------------- -------------
    Total current assets 1,060,271 501,904
    Property and equipment, net 12,274,180 11,429,106
    Goodwill 772,816 721,514
    Other assets 1,058,551 740,564
    --------------- -------------
    $15,165,818 $13,393,088
    =============== =============

    Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
    Current liabilities
    Current portion of long-term debt $ 558,618 $ 373,422
    Accounts payable 192,424 193,794
    Accrued expenses and other
    liabilities 644,494 408,209
    Customer deposits 1,175,262 896,943
    --------------- -------------
    Total current liabilities 2,570,798 1,872,368
    Long-term debt 5,350,523 5,040,322
    Other long-term liabilities 589,040 388,823

    Commitments and contingencies

    Shareholders' equity
    Preferred stock ($0.01 par value,
    20,000,000 shares authorized,
    none outstanding, September 30, 2007
    and December 31, 2006) - -
    Common stock ($.01 par value,
    500,000,000 shares authorized,
    223,365,773 and 222,489,872
    shares issued, September 30, 2007
    and December 31, 2006, respectively) 2,234 2,225
    Paid-in capital 2,935,123 2,904,041
    Retained earnings 4,076,028 3,639,211
    Accumulated other comprehensive
    income (loss) 65,592 (30,802)
    Treasury stock (11,016,185 and
    10,985,927 common shares at cost,
    September 30, 2007 and December 31,
    2006, respectively) (423,520) (423,100)
    --------------- -------------
    Total shareholders' equity 6,655,457 6,091,575
    --------------- -------------
    $15,165,818 $13,393,088
    =============== =============



    ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
    CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
    (unaudited, in thousands)

    Nine Months Ended
    September 30,
    --------------------------------
    2007 2006
    --------------- -------------
    Operating Activities
    Net income $ 532,575 $ 587,299
    Adjustments:
    Depreciation and amortization 360,021 313,513
    Accretion of original issue
    discount on debt 1,354 17,578
    Changes in operating assets and
    liabilities:
    Increase in trade and other
    receivables, net (146,569) (11,437)
    Increase in inventories (11,532) (11,629)
    Increase in prepaid expenses and
    other assets (60,020) (18,923)
    (Decrease) increase in accounts
    payable (4,730) 8,811
    Increase in accrued expenses and
    other liabilities 212,871 43,162
    Increase in customer deposits 273,372 74,877
    Accreted interest paid on LYONs
    repurchase - (121,199)
    Other, net 2,711 25,982
    --------------- -------------
    Net cash provided by operating
    activities 1,160,053 908,034
    --------------- -------------
    Investing Activities
    Purchases of property and equipment (1,225,065) (1,019,462)
    Purchases of notes from First Choice
    Holidays PLC - (100,000)
    Other, net 43,033 (13,204)
    --------------- -------------
    Net cash used in investing
    activities (1,182,032) (1,132,666)
    --------------- -------------
    Financing Activities
    Proceeds from issuance of debt 1,904,979 1,806,215
    Debt issuance costs (10,134) (8,804)
    Repayments of debt (1,515,101) (1,276,673)
    Dividends (66,339) (63,543)
    Proceeds from exercise of common
    stock options 16,932 19,161
    Purchases of treasury stock - (164,582)
    Other, net (1,818) 8,011
    --------------- -------------
    Net cash provided by financing
    activities 328,519 319,785
    --------------- -------------
    Effect of exchange rate changes
    on cash 846 -

    Net increase in cash and cash
    equivalents 307,386 95,153
    Cash and cash equivalents at
    beginning of period 104,520 125,385
    --------------- -------------
    Cash and cash equivalents at end
    of period $ 411,906 $ 220,538
    =============== =============
    Supplemental Disclosure
    Cash paid during the period for:
    Interest, net of amount
    capitalized $190,995 $276,785
    =============== =============



    ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
    NON-GAAP RECONCILING INFORMATION
    (unaudited)

    Gross Yields and Net Yields were calculated as follows (in thousands,
    except APCD and Yields):

    Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
    September 30, September 30,
    ------------------------ ------------------------
    2007 2006 2007 2006
    ----------- ------------ ----------- ------------
    Passenger ticket
    revenues $ 1,423,179 $ 1,211,758 $ 3,360,586 $ 3,006,928
    Onboard and other
    revenues 530,413 425,093 1,297,459 1,069,443
    ----------- ------------ ----------- ------------
    Total revenues 1,953,592 1,636,851 4,658,045 4,076,371
    =========== ============ =========== ============
    Less:
    Commissions,
    transportation and
    other 356,471 289,462 844,784 720,460
    Onboard and other 148,218 123,167 316,792 267,945
    ----------- ------------ ----------- ------------
    Net revenues $ 1,448,903 $ 1,224,222 $ 3,496,469 $ 3,087,966
    =========== ============ =========== ============

    APCD 6,668,881 5,865,782 18,526,888 16,543,430
    Gross Yields $ 292.94 $ 279.05 $ 251.42 $ 246.40
    Net Yields $ 217.26 $ 208.71 $ 188.72 $ 186.66


    Gross Cruise Costs and Net Cruise Costs were calculated as follows
    (in thousands, except APCD and costs per APCD):


    Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
    September 30, September 30,
    ------------------------ ------------------------
    2007 2006 2007 2006
    ----------- ------------ ----------- ------------

    Total cruise operating
    expenses $ 1,149,244 $ 944,166 $ 2,956,112 $ 2,499,273
    Marketing, selling
    and administrative
    expenses 199,169 163,745 578,547 518,681
    ----------- ------------ ----------- ------------
    Gross Cruise Costs 1,348,413 1,107,911 3,534,659 3,017,954
    =========== ============ =========== ============
    Less:
    Commissions,
    transportation and
    other 356,471 289,462 844,784 720,460
    Onboard and other 148,218 123,167 316,792 267,945
    ----------- ------------ ----------- ------------
    Net Cruise Costs $ 843,724 $ 695,282 $ 2,373,083 $ 2,029,549
    =========== ============ =========== ============
    APCD 6,668,881 5,865,782 18,526,888 16,543,430
    Gross Cruise Costs
    per APCD $ 202.19 $ 188.88 $ 190.79 $ 182.43
    Net Cruise Costs
    per APCD $ 126.52 $ 118.53 $ 128.09 $ 122.68


    Net Debt-to-Capital was calculated as follows (in thousands):


    As of
    September 30,
    --------------------------------
    2007 2006
    ------------ ------------
    Long-term debt, net of current
    portion $ 5,350,523 $ 4,181,502
    Current portion of long-term debt 558,618 268,638
    ------------ ------------
    Total debt 5,909,141 4,450,140
    Less: Cash and cash equivalents 411,906 220,538
    ------------ ------------
    Net Debt $ 5,497,235 $ 4,229,602
    ============ ============

    Total shareholders' equity $ 6,655,457 $ 6,043,134
    Total debt 5,909,141 4,450,140
    ------------ ------------
    Total debt and shareholders' equity 12,564,598 10,493,274
    ============ ============
    Debt-to-Capital 47.0% 42.4%
    Net Debt 5,497,235 4,229,602
    ------------ ------------
    Net Debt and shareholders' equity $12,152,692 $10,272,736
    ------------ ------------
    Net Debt-to-Capital 45.2% 41.2%

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